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  2. Special Report: Top-Performing Managers
March 08, 2023 12:00 PM

Equity energy and natural resources strategies take spotlight in 2022

Sergio Padilla
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    Albert Chu
    Newton Investment Management North America's Albert Chu

    Energy and natural resources-based strategies continued to fuel domestic equity manager outperformance in 2022, according to the latest data from Morningstar Inc.'s separate account/collective investment trust database.

    For the year ended Dec. 31, the top 10 strategies consisted of four natural resources-based strategies; two equity energy strategies, both of which occupied the top five; two midcap growth strategies, a large-cap value strategy and one tactical allocation strategy.

    This marks the fourth consecutive quarter that equity energy and natural resources have appeared on the top 10 list. These two sectors have been somewhat of a safe haven for investors in a year categorized by declining values in both stocks and bonds.

    Because of the large dispersion of returns between energy and other sectors of the stock market, energy was able to provide such high returns for many of these strategies, according to Stephen Welch, a Chicago-based senior manager research analyst for equity strategies at Morningstar.

    He said Occidental Petroleum Corp. and Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. were two common energy holdings that helped propel returns.

    Mr. Welch added that natural resources-based strategies were able to receive top spots due to metals and mining being another part of the market that performed well. One example would be Texas Pacific Land Corp., which helped Horizon Kinetics Asset Management LLC land two of its strategies in the top 10. Texas Pacific owns land in Texas, mineral rights to a lot of that land and owns land in West Texas basins, according to Mr. Welch.

    The overall median return for domestic equities in the Morningstar separate account universe for the year ended Dec. 31 was -15.4%, compared to -19.2% for the Russell 3000 index, 10.4% for the S&P Global Natural Resources index and 63.5% for the S&P Composite 1500 Energy index.

    For the quarter ended Dec. 31, the median return for domestic equity strategies in Morningstar's database was 8.67%, while the Russell 3000 index returned 7.2%; S&P Global Natural Resources index, 17.2%; and S&P Composite 1500 Energy index, 22.1%.

    Model Capital retains top spot

    Boston-based Model Capital Management LLC was once again the best-performing equity manager with its tactical allocation strategy delivering a gross one-year return of 50.39%.

    The strategy mixes broad market exchange-traded funds — such as the Vanguard Value ETF and the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF — with a bond portfolio.

    In a previous interview, Roman Chuyan, MCM's founder, president and CIO, said that the tactical allocation strategy allocates to some indexes, the same way an S&P 500 ETF would, while shorting other indexes like the Nasdaq at different periods in time. The strategy also can implement exposures to defensives like cash and fixed income.

    The firm uses a computer-based regression analysis to weigh 29 economic factors on broad valuations of the stock market like the S&P 500. From there, the model is able to give a forward-looking forecast of how the index will perform over the next six months. The firm then makes decisions based on what type of returns are forecasted as well as a short-term risk model to protect itself against market corrections.

    CODE:
    The top-performing equity managers for Q4 2022
    Overall U.S. equity separate accounts: one year
    RankFundCategoryGross returnNet
    return
    1MCM Tactical 2xGrowth Limit-LossU.S. SA tactical allocation50.39%49.66%
    2Miller/Howard N. Amer. Energy (w/o K-1s)U.S. SA equity energy44.18%43.13%
    3Orleans Energy OpportunitiesU.S. SA equity energy40.81%39.47%
    4Newton Global Natural ResourcesU.S. SA natural resources35.93%34.87%
    5Horizon Research Select InstlU.S. SA midcap growth27.31%26.04%
    6Jennison Global Natural Resources EquityU.S. SA natural resources25.97%25.03%
    7Ninety One Global Natural ResourcesU.S. SA natural resources23.28%22.33%
    8Horizon Small Cap InstitutionalU.S. SA midcap growth21.03%19.82%
    9Cohen & Steers Gl Natural Resource CompU.S. SA natural resources18.45%17.71%
    10Peak Capital Management Dividend EquityU.S. SA large value17.17%16.26%
    Overall U.S. equity separate accounts: five years
    RankFundCategoryGross returnNet
    return
    1Next Century Growth Micro Cap GrowthU.S. SA small growth24.26%23.39%
    2Granahan Inv Mgt - Sm Cap Focused GrthU.S. SA small growth19.63%18.56%
    3Old West Small CapU.S. SA small blend19.29%18.23%
    4Harvey Partners Small-Cap OpportunityU.S. SA small blend18.14%16.99%
    5KBIGI Global Energy Transition StrategyU.S. SA equity energy17.89%16.90%
    6Next Century Growth Small CapU.S. SA small growth17.75%16.66%
    7Penn Capital Small to Micro Cap EquityU.S. SA small blend17.65%17.09%
    8Old West All Cap OpportunityU.S. SA small blend17.49%16.33%
    9NCG SMID CapU.S. SA midcap growth17.43%16.18%
    10Granahan SMID SelectU.S. SA small growth17.20%16.05%
    Overall U.S. equity CITs: one year
    RankFundCategoryGross returnNet
    return
    1Wellington CIF Research EnergyU.S. SA equity energy 27.39%
    2State St S&P Gbl LgMdCp NR Idx NL Cl AU.S. SA natural resources 15.34%
    3NT Col Glo Nat Res Idx Fd - NLU.S. SA natural resources 9.90%
    4BNYM Newton NSL US Dynamic LC Value UC1U.S. SA large value3.74%3.74%
    5BNYM Newton PE NSL US Dyn Large Cap ValU.S. SA large value3.67%3.67%
    6UBS Trumbull Diversified Property GU.S. SA real estate 2.82%
    7Beutel Goodman U.S. Equity Fund (US$)U.S. SA large value2.33%2.04%
    8Invesco Diversified Dividend Trust - IU.S. SA large value-1.29%-1.59%
    9Eaton Vance Large Cap Val CITU.S. SA large value-1.94%-2.39%
    10American Century US Value Yield Eq Tr 1U.S. SA large value-1.88%-2.41%
    Overall U.S. equity CITs: five years
    RankFundCategoryGross returnNet
    return
    1Kayne Anderson Rudnick SC Core CIT 1U.S. SA midcap growth13.56%12.71%
    2State St Nasdaq-100 Indx NL Cl AU.S. SA large growth 12.37%
    3Ivy Large Cap Growth CIT Class 1U.S. SA large growth 12.11%
    4AB US Large Cap Growth CT BU.S. SA large growth 12.05%
    5Kayne Anderson Rudnick SC Sust Gr CIT 1U.S. SA midcap growth11.93%11.09%
    6KAR Small-Mid Cap Core Cl 1U.S. SA midcap growth11.79%11.02%
    7BlackRock Russell 1000® Growth FU.S. SA large growth 11.00%
    8NT R1000 Growth Index Fund - LU.S. SA large growth 10.96%
    9Spartan Large Cap Growth Index PoolU.S. SA large growth10.95%10.95%
    10BlackRock Russell 1000 Growth NL FU.S. SA large growth 10.93%

    In second place was Miller/Howard Investment Inc., based out of Woodstock, N.Y., with its North American Energy strategy delivering a gross one-year return of 44.18%.

    Michael Roomberg, New York-based portfolio manager at Miller/Howard Investments, said that North American Energy is a diversified energy equity strategy that invests across the entirety of the North American energy value chain with particular emphasis on exploration, development and production; pipelines; refineries; petrochemicals; and energy services.

    "This strategy benefited last year from an overweight towards U.S. upstream producers, which benefited from high prices relative to some of the more stable, midstream pipeline companies within our investment universe as well as the outperformance of refineries, which benefited from the resurgence in demand for transportation fuels, as well as price dislocation from natural gas spikes in Europe," Mr. Roomberg said.

    One of the names that helped give rise to Miller/Howard's outperformance was Occidental Petroleum, which Mr. Roomberg said benefited from elevated commodity prices that allowed the company to fix the majority of issues with its balance sheet.

    Mr. Roomberg says the strategy's objective is to outperform the S&P 1500 Energy index, which it has managed to do in 10 of the last 11 years.

    Orleans Capital Management, based out of Mandeville, La., came in third place with its energy opportunities strategy returning a gross 40.81%.

    Morningstar's Mr. Welch said in an email that the strategy has an energy exposure of 82% as well as other holdings in utilities and solar technology.

    Top holdings contributing to its performance included ConocoPhillips, Chevron Corp. and Exxon Mobil Corp. according to Mr. Welch.

    The strategy also benefited from energy services names such as Schlumberger and Halliburton Co.

    In an interview, John Crain, research analyst at Orleans Capital Management, described the strategy as an all-of-the-above approach to energy, which includes investments in solar panel technology company First Solar Inc. and Quanta Services Inc., an electric power and other infrastructure services provider.

    Boston-based Newton Investment Management North America LLC's global natural resources strategy was the fourth best-performing equity strategy, yielding a gross one-year return of 35.93%.

    "This is a long-only equity fund focused on investing in natural resources equities," said Albert Chu, portfolio manager and global natural resources and research analyst at Newton. "The three big (categories) would be… oil (and) natural gas; traditional fossil fuel; then the metals and mining, (such as) steel, copper, iron or aluminum."

    Some of the largest holdings for the strategy in 2022 were Hess Corp., mining company Freeport-McMoRan Inc. and hydrocarbon exploration company EOG Resources Inc.

    On average, the strategy holds roughly 40 to 60 highly liquid mid- to large-cap stocks, Mr. Chu said.

    "We don't take very concentrated positions, even though the overall name count is pretty concentrated; individual names don't get over 5%," he said. "Typically we have several things in the hopper to generate alpha and return. (Our) team philosophy, summarized, is pure alpha."

    He added that his team's first goal is to identify as many levers for alpha as possible. That starts by getting to understand commodity cycles and the idiosyncratic drivers of them. One example he used to highlight this was the shock to commodity prices following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

    The second lever for generating alpha is looking to a diverse range of companies within energy. Even within a category like upstream, a wide dispersion of energy categories are there such as U.S. shale, Permian Basin, offshore and more. He said that the fund shifts to where the value chain is going.

    "The last level of alpha is just good old fashioned going out there and kicking the tires," he said. "We interview management teams, we understand the company from the ground up, we look for changes in operating and financial leverage, any bottom-up stories in a new management team, new strategy … when you combine all those three levers of alpha, that gives you a much better view of the space you're investing in and it opens up a lot more opportunities, and generates excess returns."

    In fifth place was the Horizon Research Select mid-cap growth strategy returning a gross 27.31%.

    Steven Bregman, New York-based president and co-founder, said that the strategy was put together in anticipation of a damagingly high inflationary environment within the U.S.

    "We own securities that would be inflation beneficiaries," he said.

    He added that there are certain sectors within an inflationary environment that, due to the nature of companies' business model, are likely to do well or suffer minimally depending on the source of inflation, such as a shortage of critical commodities or monetary inflation. The U.S. is currently experiencing both, he said.

    Mr. Bregman said that the largest holding in the strategy in 2022 was Texas Pacific Land Corp., the Dallas-based real estate operating firm with land in West Texas.

    "It's probably the best oil and natural gas royalty company you can find," he said. "So what'll happen is a Chevron or an Occidental Petroleum is minding their own business. They're drilling on land they bought, but it just so happens that TPL has some royalty interests in that land, and they have to pay TPL a 1/16th share of the revenues they produce."

    Mr. Bregman reiterated that the portfolio is built largely of companies whose business models make them natural inflation beneficiaries and are, as he described, "asset light," meaning that they lack balance sheet-heavy assets, as well as smaller employee head counts.

    5-year and CIT rankings

    For the five years ended Dec 31., small- or midcap growth strategies accounted for five of the top 10 performing equity separate account strategies. Four small-cap blend strategies and one equity energy strategy filled out the rest of the list.

    The top performer on the five-year list was once again Minneapolis-based Next Century Growth Investors LLC, with its microcap growth strategy posting an annualized gross return of 24.26%.

    The median return for the top-performing equity strategies for the five years ended Dec. 31 was an annualized 7.9% while the Russell 3000 returned 8.8% over that same period.

    In the Morningstar collective investment trust universe for the year ended Dec. 31, the top 10 strategies consisted of six large-cap value strategies, two natural resources strategies, one real estate strategy and one equity energy strategy.

    The top performing CIT strategy was Boston-based Wellington Management Co.'s LLP's research energy strategy, which delivered a net one-year return of 27.39%.

    Following Wellington were two natural resources strategies, one managed by State Street Global Advisors and the other by Northern Trust Asset Management, which delivered net returns of 15.34% and 9.9% respectively.

    The median annualized return for domestic equity collective investment trusts for the year ended Dec. 31 was -19.14%.

    For the five years ended Dec. 31, the top collective investment trusts consisted of seven large-cap growth strategies and three midcap growth strategies. The top performer was Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management LLC's small-cap core CIT, classified by Morningstar as a midcap growth strategy, with a net annualized return of 12.71%.

    The median annualized return of domestic equity collective investment trusts for the five years ended Dec. 31 was 7.28%.

    All data for Pensions & Investments' top-performing managers report are provided from Morningstar's global separate account/collective investment trust database. The data for the separate account rankings on which this story is based were pulled Feb. 2, and the CIT data were pulled Feb 1.

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